Penn State
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
19  Tessa Barrett SO 19:33
45  Elizabeth Chikotas JR 19:46
47  Jillian Hunsberger JR 19:47
216  Kathryn Munks FR 20:20
246  Greta Lindsley SO 20:25
521  Julie Kocjancic SR 20:58
738  Victoria Crawford SO 21:14
842  Rachel Banks FR 21:22
1,319  Hannah Catalano JR 21:51
1,414  Natasha Fedkina FR 21:57
1,649  Cara Ulizio SR 22:12
1,658  Lisa Bennatan JR 22:12
1,660  Grace Trucilla FR 22:12
2,628  Nicole O'Donnell FR 23:23
National Rank #10 of 344
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #1 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.9%
Most Likely Finish 11th at Nationals


National Champion 0.5%
Top 5 at Nationals 13.7%
Top 10 at Nationals 45.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 91.0%


Regional Champion 86.5%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Tessa Barrett Elizabeth Chikotas Jillian Hunsberger Kathryn Munks Greta Lindsley Julie Kocjancic Victoria Crawford Rachel Banks Hannah Catalano Natasha Fedkina Cara Ulizio
Roy Griak Invitational 09/24 391 19:43 19:43 19:41 20:27 20:16 20:42 20:45 21:27 22:10
Penn State National Open 10/14 407 19:39 19:44 19:47 20:22 20:25 20:51 21:27 21:09 21:15 21:57 22:27
Big 10 Championship 10/30 327 19:30 19:47 19:34 20:18 20:09 21:12 21:05 21:34 21:54
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/11 347 19:22 19:38 19:44 20:13 20:25 21:36 21:20





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.9% 11.8 356 0.5 1.5 3.3 4.3 4.3 6.5 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.2 7.0 5.5 6.2 5.4 5.3 4.2 3.9 2.9 2.4 2.6 1.7 1.9 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2
Region Championship 100% 1.2 46 86.5 9.8 3.0 0.7 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tessa Barrett 100% 25.3 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.5 2.0 1.9 2.5 2.5 2.0 2.5 2.2 2.5 2.3 2.7 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.0 2.7 2.3 1.8 1.9
Elizabeth Chikotas 100.0% 49.8 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1
Jillian Hunsberger 100.0% 51.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 0.6 1.3 0.9 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.8
Kathryn Munks 99.9% 154.8 0.1
Greta Lindsley 99.9% 166.8 0.1
Julie Kocjancic 99.9% 228.6
Victoria Crawford 99.9% 242.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tessa Barrett 1.0 50.6 20.6 12.0 7.6 3.4 2.9 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Elizabeth Chikotas 3.5 7.9 17.7 17.1 14.2 13.3 8.8 8.0 5.1 3.4 1.8 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1
Jillian Hunsberger 3.6 7.8 16.2 16.0 16.7 11.6 10.1 8.1 4.9 3.3 2.2 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Kathryn Munks 13.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 2.1 2.3 5.0 6.0 7.2 7.5 7.2 5.9 6.5 5.8 4.8 4.7 3.6 3.8 3.2 3.4 2.8 2.4 2.3 1.7
Greta Lindsley 16.3 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 2.0 3.4 3.3 4.9 5.7 5.7 5.0 5.7 5.8 5.3 4.1 4.4 4.3 4.2 3.6 3.1 3.5 2.5 2.8
Julie Kocjancic 42.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.7
Victoria Crawford 59.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 86.5% 100.0% 86.5 86.5 1
2 9.8% 100.0% 9.8 9.8 2
3 3.0% 98.3% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.9 3
4 0.7% 92.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 4
5 0.1% 50.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 99.9% 86.5 9.8 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 96.3 3.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Michigan 98.8% 1.0 1.0
Mississippi 95.3% 1.0 1.0
San Francisco 89.3% 1.0 0.9
Miss State 82.8% 1.0 0.8
Oklahoma State 65.3% 1.0 0.7
Boise State 60.0% 1.0 0.6
UCLA 54.6% 1.0 0.5
Minnesota 31.9% 1.0 0.3
West Virginia 27.1% 1.0 0.3
Furman 25.1% 1.0 0.3
Virginia Tech 7.6% 1.0 0.1
William and Mary 4.2% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Duke 3.2% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 2.7% 1.0 0.0
Texas 2.2% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Bucknell 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Wyoming 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 6.6
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 12.0